As President Donald Trump arrives with a message of peace and a plan for a new regional order, he enters a Middle East that is profoundly on edge. The recent war has left deep scars, and while the ceasefire has brought a fragile calm, the entire region is gripped by a tense mix of hope and fear for what comes next.
The hope stems from the tangible results of the US-brokered deal. The expected return of Israeli hostages is a source of immense relief in Israel. The surge of humanitarian aid into Gaza offers a lifeline to a desperate population. The convening of a major peace summit suggests a real international commitment to finding a lasting solution.
However, this hope is shadowed by a deep-seated fear that the peace is illusory and fleeting. In Israel, there is anxiety that Hamas will regroup and attack again if not fully dismantled. For Palestinians, there is fear that the world’s focus on Gaza will leave the unresolved issues of the West Bank and statehood to fester.
Across the wider region, there is skepticism born of long experience with failed peace initiatives. Leaders and citizens alike are wary of the deep-seated obstacles that remain, from Israel’s security demands to the lack of a viable plan for Palestinian governance. The pronouncements of former officials like H.R. McMaster, who predict a return to conflict, feed this regional anxiety.
Trump’s mission is to tip this delicate balance from fear towards hope. He must convince a traumatized and skeptical region that this time is different, and that the narrow window of opportunity he perceives can be opened into a wide gateway for a more stable and prosperous future.